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Red232
5987141.8
1942138.3
7177132.1
Blue333
5635140.4
6741118.4
3339145.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383340100200300400500600232333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#16
141.86.7
104.9111.6
Auto20.5
Teleop111.8
End10.4
blue by 3.4
145.25.1
128.4133.5
Auto28.2
Teleop109.1
End5.2
Second
1942
#18
138.32.9
99.0101.9
Auto18.8
Teleop104.5
End20.5
blue by 2.1
140.49.1
113.4122.5
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End13.7
Third
7177
#22
132.18.8
86.695.4
Auto15.5
Teleop94.5
End23.3
red by 13.7
6741
#20
118.41.5
116.9115.5
Auto17.4
Teleop88.5
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed