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Red418
5554142.5
5291162.9
3065145.8
Blue217
4320122.9
7039107.3
464993.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3521860100300400500600700418217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.90.8
151.9152.8
Auto17.8
Teleop126.4
End16.3
red by 40.0
4320
#33
122.93.4
107.9111.3
Auto12.6
Teleop96.2
End14.3
Second
145.86.3
107.0113.3
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
red by 38.5
7039
#28
107.35.4
88.994.3
Auto15.5
Teleop89.5
End3.2
Third
5554
#10
142.56.7
103.0109.7
Auto16.9
Teleop106.3
End20.0
red by 48.9
4649
#23
93.71.0
82.683.6
Auto13.8
Teleop71.6
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed