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Red264
2096130.7
1943110.1
5554142.5
Blue317
3835135.6
6230106.3
3065145.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883140100200400500600264317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#10
142.56.6
116.9123.5
Auto16.9
Teleop106.3
End20.0
blue by 3.2
145.86.1
120.2126.3
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
Second
2096
#19
130.72.5
117.5120.1
Auto16.4
Teleop96.9
End18.0
blue by 4.8
135.65.0
114.7119.7
Auto17.6
Teleop106.0
End12.5
Third
1943
#31
110.11.2
109.0110.2
Auto15.1
Teleop82.6
End10.0
red by 3.8
6230
#27
106.36.8
95.3102.1
Auto13.0
Teleop87.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed