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Red400
6740141.5
7177132.1
3083127.7
Blue242
1580104.3
6741118.4
1576109.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339223100300400500600400242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6740
#12
141.57.0
125.8132.8
Auto12.3
Teleop108.3
End19.4
red by 23.1
6741
#20
118.40.3
114.5114.2
Auto17.4
Teleop88.5
End15.5
Second
7177
#22
132.16.1
102.0108.1
Auto15.5
Teleop94.5
End23.3
red by 22.6
1576
#14
109.61.0
104.9105.9
Auto18.3
Teleop82.4
End11.6
Third
3083
#15
127.74.3
113.8118.2
Auto15.7
Teleop97.8
End13.2
red by 23.4
1580
#30
104.30.3
103.6104.0
Auto11.6
Teleop83.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed