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Red289
5747114.8
5987141.8
4416115.5
Blue412
5614152.7
7039107.3
3339145.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270322100200400500289412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#16
141.84.1
122.7126.8
Auto20.5
Teleop111.8
End10.4
blue by 10.9
152.78.7
127.7136.4
Auto18.8
Teleop115.2
End16.5
Second
4416
#29
115.52.0
108.1110.1
Auto14.1
Teleop91.9
End10.0
blue by 29.7
145.22.2
141.0143.2
Auto28.2
Teleop109.1
End5.2
Third
5747
#24
114.81.3
109.6110.9
Auto16.2
Teleop90.6
End7.7
red by 7.5
7039
#28
107.30.1
101.2101.1
Auto15.5
Teleop89.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed