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Red382
3075143.5
5635140.4
2679152.2
Blue231
464993.7
5291162.9
195499.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304284150200250350400450500382231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.23.0
131.7134.7
Auto21.1
Teleop108.7
End26.7
blue by 10.7
162.92.2
156.4158.5
Auto17.8
Teleop126.4
End16.3
Second
143.51.2
116.8118.0
Auto20.1
Teleop108.8
End18.6
red by 44.4
1954
#36DQ
99.11.6
109.7111.2
Auto13.7
Teleop87.7
End-6.2
Third
140.40.8
131.3132.1
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End13.7
red by 46.7
4649
#23
93.72.1
85.988.0
Auto13.8
Teleop71.6
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed