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Red243
5747114.8
2679152.2
6736116.4
Blue113
2096130.7
4744110.1
1580104.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2812990100200400500600700243113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.20.8
123.1123.9
Auto21.1
Teleop108.7
End26.7
red by 21.5
2096
#19
130.714.5
88.3102.8
Auto16.4
Teleop96.9
End18.0
Second
6736
#13
116.414.8
85.4100.2
Auto13.6
Teleop94.4
End9.2
red by 6.3
4744
#26
110.115.3
80.595.8
Auto13.8
Teleop84.2
End12.5
Third
5747
#24
114.816.6
69.085.6
Auto16.2
Teleop90.6
End7.7
red by 10.5
1580
#30
104.317.0
65.782.7
Auto11.6
Teleop83.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed