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Red335
1576109.6
6740141.5
5291162.9
Blue236
3339145.2
3388126.5
5987141.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733150100200400500600700335236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.90.6
152.2151.6
Auto17.8
Teleop126.4
End16.3
red by 17.7
145.212.3
109.2121.4
Auto28.2
Teleop109.1
End5.2
Second
6740
#12
141.515.0
83.298.2
Auto12.3
Teleop108.3
End19.4
blue by 0.2
5987
#16
141.815.3
80.595.9
Auto20.5
Teleop111.8
End10.4
Third
1576
#14
109.61.0
105.5104.5
Auto18.3
Teleop82.4
End11.6
blue by 17.0
3388
#17
126.516.1
74.090.1
Auto17.8
Teleop95.8
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed