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Red299
464993.7
3835135.6
5135112.6
Blue299
5654155.3
4416115.5
5614152.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153080100400500600299299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.6
Auto17.6
Teleop106.0
End12.5
blue by 19.8
5654
#11
155.3
Auto22.1
Teleop110.9
End27.2
Second
5135
#35DQ
112.6
Auto14.0
Teleop84.4
End16.2
blue by 40.1
152.7
Auto18.8
Teleop115.2
End16.5
Third
4649
#23
93.7
Auto13.8
Teleop71.6
End10.9
blue by 21.8
4416
#29
115.5
Auto14.1
Teleop91.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed