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Red256
6741118.4
5135112.6
4416115.5
Blue329
614996.2
2231157.2
5747114.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323230100200400500256329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6741
#20
118.40.1
114.2114.3
Auto17.4
Teleop88.5
End15.5
blue by 38.8
157.25.2
140.6145.7
Auto21.7
Teleop120.7
End14.3
Second
4416
#29
115.52.4
110.1112.5
Auto14.1
Teleop91.9
End10.0
red by 0.7
5747
#24
114.81.9
110.9112.8
Auto16.2
Teleop90.6
End7.7
Third
5135
#35
112.63.0
105.3108.3
Auto14.0
Teleop84.4
End16.2
red by 16.4
6149
#21
96.20.4
95.395.8
Auto13.8
Teleop81.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed