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Red282
2679152.2
1576109.6
5554142.5
Blue349
3065145.8
5614152.7
5987141.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288382100200500600700282349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.22.9
134.7137.6
Auto21.1
Teleop108.7
End26.7
blue by 0.4
152.77.3
136.4143.8
Auto18.8
Teleop115.2
End16.5
Second
5554
#10
142.53.3
128.0131.4
Auto16.9
Teleop106.3
End20.0
blue by 3.2
145.85.2
131.7136.9
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
Third
1576
#14
109.61.3
106.8108.1
Auto18.3
Teleop82.4
End11.6
blue by 32.2
5987
#16
141.83.8
126.8130.6
Auto20.5
Teleop111.8
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed