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Red35
195499.1
1580104.3
1943110.1
Blue397
5291162.9
5987141.8
3075143.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220369010030040050060035397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1943
#31
110.10.9
112.7113.6
Auto15.1
Teleop82.6
End10.0
blue by 52.9
162.91.0
159.9160.9
Auto17.8
Teleop126.4
End16.3
Second
1580
#30
104.32.8
105.8108.6
Auto11.6
Teleop83.0
End7.2
blue by 39.2
143.53.6
120.3123.9
Auto20.1
Teleop108.8
End18.6
Third
1954
#36
99.10.2
111.1110.9
Auto13.7
Teleop87.7
End-6.2
blue by 42.7
5987
#16
141.82.5
130.6133.2
Auto20.5
Teleop111.8
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed