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Red264
3835135.6
3339145.2
3083127.7
Blue303
6736116.4
3065145.8
2096130.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339278100200400500264303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.21.6
146.2147.8
Auto28.2
Teleop109.1
End5.2
blue by 0.6
145.83.4
136.9140.2
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
Second
135.62.5
128.3130.8
Auto17.6
Teleop106.0
End12.5
red by 4.8
2096
#19
130.72.0
124.4126.4
Auto16.4
Teleop96.9
End18.0
Third
3083
#15
127.72.2
123.6125.8
Auto15.7
Teleop97.8
End13.2
red by 11.3
6736
#13
116.41.4
118.9117.5
Auto13.6
Teleop94.4
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed