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Red187
1580104.3
5987141.8
464993.7
Blue400
5715111.5
3065145.8
3083127.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269311100200400500187400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#16
141.83.0
133.2136.2
Auto20.5
Teleop111.8
End10.4
blue by 4.0
145.82.2
140.2142.4
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
Second
1580
#30
104.31.3
108.6107.2
Auto11.6
Teleop83.0
End7.2
blue by 23.4
3083
#15
127.70.2
125.8126.0
Auto15.7
Teleop97.8
End13.2
Third
4649
#23
93.71.6
90.592.1
Auto13.8
Teleop71.6
End10.9
blue by 17.8
5715
#25
111.52.5
104.6107.1
Auto16.1
Teleop88.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed