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Red225
5614152.7
2096130.7
195499.1
Blue139
1943110.1
7039107.3
6740141.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292420100200400500600225139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.71.7
149.8151.6
Auto18.8
Teleop115.2
End16.5
red by 11.1
6740
#12
141.52.8
148.5145.7
Auto12.3
Teleop108.3
End19.4
Second
2096
#19
130.72.0
127.7129.7
Auto16.4
Teleop96.9
End18.0
red by 20.7
1943
#31
110.11.1
113.0111.9
Auto15.1
Teleop82.6
End10.0
Third
1954
#36
99.14.3
107.4103.1
Auto13.7
Teleop87.7
End-6.2
blue by 8.2
7039
#28
107.32.7
103.8106.5
Auto15.5
Teleop89.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed