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Red273
431992.3
614996.2
5291162.9
Blue249
466198.7
3339145.2
4416115.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273281100150200250300350400450273249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.90.7
162.3163.0
Auto17.8
Teleop126.4
End16.3
red by 17.7
145.21.1
147.6146.5
Auto28.2
Teleop109.1
End5.2
Second
6149
#21
96.20.4
95.495.8
Auto13.8
Teleop81.7
End0.3
blue by 19.3
4416
#29
115.51.3
114.0115.3
Auto14.1
Teleop91.9
End10.0
Third
4319
#32
92.31.9
95.693.7
Auto16.4
Teleop76.3
End-2.4
blue by 6.5
4661
#34
98.71.4
102.1100.7
Auto12.7
Teleop76.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed