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Red467
3065145.8
2679152.2
1580104.3
Blue465
5747114.8
5654155.3
1942138.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308315150200250350400450500467465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.22.9
142.4145.3
Auto21.1
Teleop108.7
End26.7
blue by 3.1
5654
#11
155.32.1
138.3140.4
Auto22.1
Teleop110.9
End27.2
Second
145.81.6
142.4144.0
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
red by 7.5
1942
#18
138.35.0
119.9124.9
Auto18.8
Teleop104.5
End20.5
Third
1580
#30
104.32.0
107.2105.2
Auto11.6
Teleop83.0
End7.2
blue by 10.5
5747
#24
114.81.5
114.7113.2
Auto16.2
Teleop90.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed