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Red216
5135112.6
5554142.5
3388126.5
Blue381
3075143.5
7177132.1
5715111.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233030100200400500600700216381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#10
142.53.2
137.7140.9
Auto16.9
Teleop106.3
End20.0
blue by 0.9
143.54.9
127.6132.5
Auto20.1
Teleop108.8
End18.6
Second
3388
#17
126.50.6
125.7126.3
Auto17.8
Teleop95.8
End13.1
blue by 5.6
7177
#22
132.11.1
127.7128.8
Auto15.5
Teleop94.5
End23.3
Third
5135
#35
112.62.1
109.6111.7
Auto14.0
Teleop84.4
End16.2
red by 1.1
5715
#25
111.51.7
107.1108.8
Auto16.1
Teleop88.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed