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Red308
3835135.6
4744110.1
2231157.2
Blue279
3083127.7
4320122.9
5987141.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232580100200400500600308279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.22.9
149.5152.5
Auto21.7
Teleop120.7
End14.3
red by 15.4
5987
#16
141.80.8
136.2137.0
Auto20.5
Teleop111.8
End10.4
Second
135.61.2
130.9132.0
Auto17.6
Teleop106.0
End12.5
red by 7.9
3083
#15
127.70.2
126.0126.3
Auto15.7
Teleop97.8
End13.2
Third
4744
#26
110.10.9
109.4108.5
Auto13.8
Teleop84.2
End12.5
blue by 12.8
4320
#33
122.91.8
123.7121.9
Auto12.6
Teleop96.2
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed