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Red392
5654155.3
6736116.4
4744110.1
Blue210
1942138.3
195499.1
5554142.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265313100200400500600392210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#11
155.33.9
140.4144.2
Auto22.1
Teleop110.9
End27.2
red by 12.8
5554
#10
142.51.6
140.9142.5
Auto16.9
Teleop106.3
End20.0
Second
6736
#13
116.40.2
115.0114.8
Auto13.6
Teleop94.4
End9.2
blue by 21.9
1942
#18
138.35.5
124.9130.4
Auto18.8
Teleop104.5
End20.5
Third
4744
#26
110.10.5
108.5108.0
Auto13.8
Teleop84.2
End12.5
red by 11.0
1954
#36
99.14.0
103.199.1
Auto13.7
Teleop87.7
End-6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed