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Red289
464993.7
3083127.7
5747114.8
Blue236
6230106.3
2231157.2
431992.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632760100200400500600289236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3083
#15
127.71.0
126.3127.2
Auto15.7
Teleop97.8
End13.2
blue by 29.5
157.22.2
152.5154.6
Auto21.7
Teleop120.7
End14.3
Second
5747
#24
114.81.1
113.2114.3
Auto16.2
Teleop90.6
End7.7
red by 8.5
6230
#27
106.30.2
106.5106.3
Auto13.0
Teleop87.7
End2.9
Third
4649
#23
93.70.9
92.893.7
Auto13.8
Teleop71.6
End10.9
red by 1.4
4319
#32
92.31.5
93.792.3
Auto16.4
Teleop76.3
End-2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed