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Red316
2230130.6
5654186.3
5135110.7
Blue377
4586138.0
3316168.8
158096.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322334100200400500600700316377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.30.4
185.5185.9
Auto24.5
Teleop129.3
End34.0
red by 17.5
168.80.6
167.5168.2
Auto23.2
Teleop122.0
End24.7
Second
130.60.5
129.6130.1
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End9.5
blue by 7.4
4586
#14
138.00.5
136.8137.4
Auto16.1
Teleop104.2
End18.3
Third
5135
#23
110.70.3
110.1110.4
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
red by 14.7
1580
#19
96.00.0
95.995.9
Auto12.5
Teleop76.5
End5.5