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Red290
2230130.6
5654186.3
5135110.7
Blue337
4586138.0
3316168.8
158096.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322339100200400500600700290337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.30.4
185.9186.3
Auto24.5
Teleop129.3
End34.0
red by 17.5
168.80.7
168.2168.8
Auto23.2
Teleop122.0
End24.7
Second
130.60.4
130.1130.6
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End9.5
blue by 7.4
4586
#14
138.00.6
137.4138.0
Auto16.1
Teleop104.2
End18.3
Third
5135
#23
110.70.3
110.4110.7
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
red by 14.7
1580
#19
96.00.1
95.996.0
Auto12.5
Teleop76.5
End5.5