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Red295
4784101.0
5636112.6
6104165.7
Blue354
6738118.9
3316168.8
604982.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082430200400600800295354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.70.0
157.8157.7
Auto23.2
Teleop119.2
End23.7
blue by 3.2
168.81.0
141.1142.1
Auto23.2
Teleop122.0
End24.7
Second
5636
#16
112.60.4
105.7105.4
Auto17.0
Teleop91.1
End9.5
blue by 6.4
6738
#27
118.90.7
124.9124.2
Auto19.1
Teleop89.2
End7.8
Third
4784
#29DQ
101.018.0
57.075.0
Auto14.2
Teleop80.5
End1.6
red by 18.7
6049
#31
82.32.5
90.588.0
Auto13.5
Teleop70.5
End-5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed