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Red320
5654186.3
5135110.7
7083103.7
Blue279
6736114.5
158096.0
1657170.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321315200250300350400450320279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.32.1
175.1177.2
Auto24.5
Teleop129.3
End34.0
red by 16.3
1657
#12
170.10.7
168.6169.3
Auto22.2
Teleop123.4
End21.7
Second
5135
#23
110.71.0
109.3108.3
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
blue by 3.8
6736
#20
114.52.2
121.0118.8
Auto15.5
Teleop89.1
End11.2
Third
7083
#18
103.70.0
100.7100.7
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.7
red by 7.7
1580
#19
96.00.6
100.199.5
Auto12.5
Teleop76.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed