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Red442
1574211.9
5636112.6
1690164.3
Blue170
5135110.7
2230130.6
4590124.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3902070100300500600442170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.91.5
201.6203.1
Auto26.2
Teleop153.0
End35.5
red by 81.3
130.61.6
123.2124.8
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End9.5
Second
164.31.0
147.7148.7
Auto24.1
Teleop126.6
End13.7
red by 40.2
4590
#15
124.10.8
124.7123.9
Auto15.5
Teleop98.4
End10.3
Third
5636
#16
112.60.6
106.8106.2
Auto17.0
Teleop91.1
End9.5
red by 1.9
5135
#23
110.71.1
111.3110.2
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed