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Red114
6736114.5
6104165.7
6740128.4
Blue292
3083136.1
3034147.4
4784101.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324306100200400500600114292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.71.5
160.1161.6
Auto23.2
Teleop119.2
End23.7
red by 18.3
3034
#10
147.41.3
141.2142.5
Auto16.3
Teleop117.2
End13.9
Second
6740
#25
128.40.6
135.5134.9
Auto12.8
Teleop102.6
End9.7
blue by 7.8
136.11.4
130.9132.3
Auto16.9
Teleop101.2
End19.6
Third
6736
#20
114.50.4
121.5121.9
Auto15.5
Teleop89.1
End11.2
red by 13.5
4784
#29
101.03.5
104.9108.4
Auto14.2
Teleop80.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed