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Red340
5636112.6
4586138.0
3034147.4
Blue286
1657170.1
5654186.3
728691.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286349100200400500600340286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3034
#10
147.40.8
142.5143.3
Auto16.3
Teleop117.2
End13.9
blue by 38.9
186.32.8
172.3175.1
Auto24.5
Teleop129.3
End34.0
Second
4586
#14
138.01.3
123.2124.5
Auto16.1
Teleop104.2
End18.3
blue by 32.1
1657
#12
170.12.3
164.6166.9
Auto22.2
Teleop123.4
End21.7
Third
5636
#16
112.60.2
106.2106.4
Auto17.0
Teleop91.1
End9.5
red by 21.5
7286
#30
91.10.7
89.889.1
Auto13.3
Teleop71.8
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed