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Red318
4590124.1
6104165.7
6739108.1
Blue228
5990141.4
7177129.0
5135110.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32128902004006008001,0001,200318228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.70.2
161.6161.4
Auto23.2
Teleop119.2
End23.7
red by 24.3
5990
#11
141.41.6
134.5136.1
Auto15.9
Teleop104.6
End23.1
Second
4590
#15
124.10.8
123.9123.1
Auto15.5
Teleop98.4
End10.3
blue by 4.9
7177
#24
129.00.1
135.4135.5
Auto15.4
Teleop94.7
End17.3
Third
6739
#22
108.11.7
107.9106.2
Auto16.3
Teleop83.6
End5.1
blue by 2.6
5135
#23
110.70.9
110.2109.3
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed