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Red181
6738118.9
2212138.8
5636112.6
Blue367
7302114.1
4586138.0
5654186.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763520100200400500600700800181367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.82.6
135.9138.5
Auto25.8
Teleop103.9
End9.5
blue by 47.5
186.33.6
162.5166.1
Auto24.5
Teleop129.3
End34.0
Second
6738
#27
118.90.9
125.4126.3
Auto19.1
Teleop89.2
End7.8
blue by 19.0
4586
#14
138.00.2
121.4121.6
Auto16.1
Teleop104.2
End18.3
Third
5636
#16
112.60.8
106.3107.1
Auto17.0
Teleop91.1
End9.5
blue by 1.6
7302
#21
114.16.9
94.7101.5
Auto16.5
Teleop89.7
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed