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Red383
6104165.7
7079112.2
1657170.1
Blue133
4590124.1
1574211.9
194492.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292357100200400500600383133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#12
170.11.0
159.7160.7
Auto22.2
Teleop123.4
End21.7
blue by 41.8
211.93.2
197.5200.7
Auto26.2
Teleop153.0
End35.5
Second
165.70.2
158.9159.1
Auto23.2
Teleop119.2
End23.7
red by 41.6
4590
#15
124.10.9
127.9127.0
Auto15.5
Teleop98.4
End10.3
Third
7079
#28
112.22.4
94.196.5
Auto14.8
Teleop89.5
End8.0
red by 20.1
1944
#32
92.23.2
100.4103.6
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed