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Red287
5636112.6
4590124.1
5990141.4
Blue415
3083136.1
6736114.5
1690164.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683140100200400500600287415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#11
141.41.1
136.1137.2
Auto15.9
Teleop104.6
End23.1
blue by 22.9
164.31.8
150.2152.0
Auto24.1
Teleop126.6
End13.7
Second
4590
#15DQ
124.10.1
122.8122.9
Auto15.5
Teleop98.4
End10.3
blue by 12.1
136.10.1
133.1133.2
Auto16.9
Teleop101.2
End19.6
Third
5636
#16
112.61.1
106.4107.5
Auto17.0
Teleop91.1
End9.5
blue by 1.9
6736
#20
114.52.3
116.9114.6
Auto15.5
Teleop89.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned