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Red419
604982.3
5654186.3
1574211.9
Blue168
6738118.9
194492.2
3075169.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413241100200300500600419168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.91.3
205.6207.0
Auto26.2
Teleop153.0
End35.5
red by 42.1
169.81.7
166.3168.0
Auto24.3
Teleop124.6
End22.5
Second
186.31.7
179.1180.9
Auto24.5
Teleop129.3
End34.0
red by 67.4
6738
#27
118.91.2
124.4123.1
Auto19.1
Teleop89.2
End7.8
Third
6049
#31
82.31.1
84.683.5
Auto13.5
Teleop70.5
End-5.8
blue by 9.9
1944
#32
92.21.4
97.295.7
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed