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Red141
3083136.1
6739108.1
158096.0
Blue518
2212138.8
1657170.1
3316168.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204140100300500600700141518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.11.6
133.2134.8
Auto16.9
Teleop101.2
End19.6
blue by 33.9
1657
#12
170.10.4
169.3169.7
Auto22.2
Teleop123.4
End21.7
Second
6739
#22
108.11.5
107.6109.1
Auto16.3
Teleop83.6
End5.1
blue by 60.7
168.82.3
156.1158.4
Auto23.2
Teleop122.0
End24.7
Third
1580
#19
96.00.1
97.697.5
Auto12.5
Teleop76.5
End5.5
blue by 42.8
138.80.5
139.2138.7
Auto25.8
Teleop103.9
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed