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Red201
4784101.0
1573118.9
2230130.6
Blue277
7079112.2
5990141.4
7083103.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283261100150200350400450201277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.60.9
125.9126.8
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End9.5
blue by 10.9
5990
#11
141.41.2
137.2138.4
Auto15.9
Teleop104.6
End23.1
Second
1573
#17
118.91.1
117.3118.4
Auto14.0
Teleop91.3
End13.5
red by 6.6
7079
#28DQ
112.22.1
106.1108.2
Auto14.8
Teleop89.5
End8.0
Third
4784
#29
101.01.2
105.8104.6
Auto14.2
Teleop80.5
End1.6
blue by 2.7
7083
#18
103.70.7
101.3102.0
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed