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Red304
1574211.9
6736114.5
728691.1
Blue323
7083103.7
6104165.7
2212138.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325315100200400500304323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.91.5
207.0208.5
Auto26.2
Teleop153.0
End35.5
red by 46.2
165.71.3
162.3163.6
Auto23.2
Teleop119.2
End23.7
Second
6736
#20
114.50.4
114.6114.2
Auto15.5
Teleop89.1
End11.2
blue by 24.3
138.80.2
138.7138.9
Auto25.8
Teleop103.9
End9.5
Third
7286
#30
91.11.0
88.889.8
Auto13.3
Teleop71.8
End10.2
blue by 12.7
7083
#18
103.71.1
102.0103.1
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed