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Red184
194492.2
5135110.7
3083136.1
Blue308
4784101.0
4586138.0
4590124.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2163320100300400500600184308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.10.4
134.8135.2
Auto16.9
Teleop101.2
End19.6
blue by 1.8
4586
#14
138.02.5
129.0131.5
Auto16.1
Teleop104.2
End18.3
Second
5135
#23
110.70.6
107.9108.5
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
blue by 13.4
4590
#15
124.10.5
122.9123.4
Auto15.5
Teleop98.4
End10.3
Third
1944
#32
92.22.1
95.793.6
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End5.7
blue by 8.8
4784
#29
101.02.1
104.6102.5
Auto14.2
Teleop80.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed