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Red198
1657170.1
7112106.7
6739108.1
Blue333
2230130.6
7067124.3
6736114.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323275100200300400500198333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#12
170.11.0
169.7170.7
Auto22.2
Teleop123.4
End21.7
red by 39.5
130.60.7
126.9127.6
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End9.5
Second
6739
#22
108.10.6
108.7108.1
Auto16.3
Teleop83.6
End5.1
blue by 16.2
7067
#13
124.30.9
121.5122.3
Auto17.6
Teleop90.4
End15.6
Third
7112
#26
106.71.2
105.5106.7
Auto17.0
Teleop84.6
End4.5
blue by 7.8
6736
#20
114.50.0
114.2114.1
Auto15.5
Teleop89.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed