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Red245
7079112.2
194492.2
4586138.0
Blue330
7083103.7
5636112.6
3075169.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563190100200400500600245330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#14
138.02.0
131.5133.5
Auto16.1
Teleop104.2
End18.3
blue by 31.8
169.80.1
168.7168.8
Auto24.3
Teleop124.6
End22.5
Second
7079
#28
112.21.1
110.3111.4
Auto14.8
Teleop89.5
End8.0
blue by 0.3
5636
#16
112.61.7
109.7111.3
Auto17.0
Teleop91.1
End9.5
Third
1944
#32
92.21.4
93.692.2
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End5.7
blue by 11.6
7083
#18
103.70.7
103.1103.7
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed