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Red191
1942144.9
5038127.7
730299.9
Blue252
4757101.9
3388119.8
6230117.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3182200100400500600191252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#20
144.90.5
147.2146.7
Auto19.2
Teleop104.4
End21.8
red by 25.1
3388
#24
119.81.3
121.3120.1
Auto17.0
Teleop91.3
End13.2
Second
5038
#13
127.70.3
128.4128.1
Auto17.2
Teleop102.0
End11.1
red by 9.7
117.91.0
109.9111.0
Auto15.9
Teleop96.4
End6.1
Third
7302
#38
99.91.4
112.3110.9
Auto15.4
Teleop77.1
End7.0
blue by 2.0
4757
#37
101.90.2
103.2103.0
Auto14.9
Teleop80.2
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed