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Red128
478493.5
2231160.2
3211130.4
Blue276
5747108.7
7039128.1
195485.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3431620100200300400500600128276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#14
160.21.9
161.8163.7
Auto23.0
Teleop127.0
End8.2
red by 32.1
7039
#10
128.12.0
109.7111.7
Auto17.1
Teleop100.7
End15.8
Second
3211
#18
130.40.7
135.5134.8
Auto21.9
Teleop95.3
End13.9
red by 21.8
5747
#31
108.71.4
115.2113.9
Auto15.4
Teleop85.3
End5.8
Third
4784
#26
93.50.8
95.294.3
Auto16.2
Teleop74.1
End2.3
red by 8.3
1954
#36
85.21.3
86.585.2
Auto13.4
Teleop75.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed