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Red124
2231160.2
195485.2
5038127.7
Blue288
730299.9
3339164.5
4744118.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2952330100200400500124288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#14
160.20.7
163.7162.9
Auto23.0
Teleop127.0
End8.2
blue by 4.2
164.51.7
151.8153.5
Auto29.0
Teleop121.8
End16.2
Second
5038
#13
127.70.5
126.0126.5
Auto17.2
Teleop102.0
End11.1
red by 9.6
4744
#23
118.00.2
114.0113.8
Auto17.4
Teleop87.0
End15.0
Third
1954
#36
85.20.4
84.885.3
Auto13.4
Teleop75.0
End0.1
blue by 14.6
7302
#38
99.93.2
106.0102.8
Auto15.4
Teleop77.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed