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Red251
6230117.9
6168122.6
1944102.2
Blue456
728698.9
1577183.8
3211130.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443490100200300400500600700251456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#35
122.60.5
121.5121.9
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End12.4
blue by 61.2
183.80.5
174.7175.2
Auto23.8
Teleop133.4
End30.0
Second
117.91.1
112.9114.0
Auto15.9
Teleop96.4
End6.1
blue by 12.5
3211
#18
130.41.4
132.1130.7
Auto21.9
Teleop95.3
End13.9
Third
1944
#21
102.21.4
99.2100.6
Auto14.3
Teleop76.3
End14.8
red by 3.3
7286
#29
98.90.8
96.096.8
Auto15.5
Teleop70.7
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned