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Red180
466197.4
5951136.3
3065139.8
Blue376
4757101.9
3835164.8
7079131.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250333100200300400500600700180376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#30
139.80.3
140.6140.3
Auto18.7
Teleop105.0
End15.4
blue by 25.0
164.82.7
153.5156.2
Auto20.6
Teleop125.9
End20.7
Second
5951
#19
136.30.4
135.4135.8
Auto17.1
Teleop107.5
End12.1
red by 4.8
7079
#11
131.51.2
127.0128.2
Auto17.8
Teleop102.5
End13.9
Third
4661
#27
97.40.2
98.097.8
Auto13.8
Teleop73.3
End10.6
blue by 4.5
4757
#37
101.90.6
101.9101.4
Auto14.9
Teleop80.2
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed