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Red318
2710148.9
3473142.3
1622185.5
Blue210
7157113.6
4014132.9
2637142.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4102220600800318210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
Unranked
185.50.0
185.5185.5
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
red by 42.8
2637
Unranked
142.70.0
142.7142.7
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
Second
2710
Unranked
148.90.0
148.9148.9
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
red by 16.0
4014
Unranked
132.90.0
132.9132.9
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
Third
3473
Unranked
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
red by 28.7
7157
Unranked
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest odds54%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds