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Red258
4322159.0
3647162.8
2496107.1
Blue339
3309216.6
5851118.8
589117.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2993890100200500600700800258339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
Unranked
162.80.0
162.8162.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
blue by 53.8
3309
Unranked
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
4322
Unranked
159.00.0
159.0159.0
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
red by 40.2
5851
Unranked
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
Third
2496
Unranked
107.10.0
107.1107.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
blue by 9.9
589
Unranked
117.00.0
117.0117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest odds80%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss odds36%Face the Boss odds