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Red82
682196.3
4014132.9
589117.0
Blue338
2637142.7
3309216.6
4322159.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186453010030040050060070082338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4014
Unranked
132.90.0
132.9132.9
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
blue by 83.7
3309
Unranked
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
589
Unranked
117.00.0
117.0117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
blue by 42.0
4322
Unranked
159.00.0
159.0159.0
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
Third
6821
Unranked
96.30.0
96.396.3
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
blue by 46.5
2637
Unranked
142.70.0
142.7142.7
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest odds83%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds35%Face the Boss odds