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Red252
682196.3
3647162.8
1622185.5
Blue333
2496107.1
7157113.6
3473142.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3592680100200300400500600700252333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
Unranked
185.50.0
185.5185.5
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
red by 43.2
3473
Unranked
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
Second
3647
Unranked
162.80.0
162.8162.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
red by 49.2
7157
Unranked
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End8.4
Third
6821
Unranked
96.30.0
96.396.3
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
blue by 10.9
2496
Unranked
107.10.0
107.1107.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest odds42%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds