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Red207
4322159.0
5851118.8
3647162.8
Blue295
2637142.7
2710148.9
4014132.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33533805001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,500207295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
Unranked
162.80.0
162.8162.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
red by 13.9
2710
Unranked
148.90.0
148.9148.9
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
Second
4322
Unranked
159.00.0
159.0159.0
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
red by 16.3
2637
Unranked
142.70.0
142.7142.7
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
Third
5851
Unranked
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
blue by 14.0
4014
Unranked
132.90.0
132.9132.9
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest odds79%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds