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Red40
2710148.9
2496107.1
682196.3
Blue356
7157113.6
3309216.6
5851118.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191401010030050060070040356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
Unranked
148.90.0
148.9148.9
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
blue by 67.7
3309
Unranked
216.60.0
216.6216.6
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
2496
Unranked
107.10.0
107.1107.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
blue by 11.7
5851
Unranked
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
Third
6821
Unranked
96.30.0
96.396.3
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
blue by 17.3
7157
Unranked
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest odds70%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds31%Face the Boss odds